No using search engines or calculator, just imagine you were given these choices in jail and got 30 seconds to choose.
Would you rather have the executioner (Please excuse my use of firearm terminology, I’m not an expert in guns):
[A] Load 1 chamber of 6 and spin before pull the trigger 6 times (spinning the chamber after each pull)
or
[B] Load 2 chamber of 6 and spin before pull the trigger 3 times (spinning the chamber after each pull)
or
[C] Load 4 chamber of 6 and spin before pull the trigger once
If you survive, you are pardoned of all crimes you’ve committed in the past and get to leave prison (alive, obviously), no compensation tho. (Attempts to end your own life is illegal)
Which of these options would you pick?
No search engine, no calculator pls. I’m bored and wanna make this fun. 😉
If you are confused, ask in comments.
Edit: Reworded it to clarify that the chamber is spinned before the first trigger is pulled.
Isn’t A by far the best odds? If he spins after each shot doesn’t it kinda reset to really being 5/6 chance you’re ok minus the one fired last, so 4/6.
spoiler
It is, but that’s not how the math works.
You calculate using odds of survival. Its (5/6) done 6 times so its (5/6)^6 which is about 33.335% chance of survival, slightly better than with 4 chambers of 6 loaded and trigger pulled once, which would be (2/6) or 33.333%
Oh is it trigger pulled pointed at you 6 times? I thought the trigger pulls were just to waste one safe shot, but you’re only on the hook for one. Which made all that other part kinda a fuzzy waste.
That changes everything and makes so much more sense.